RB Leipzig Wvs
Nürnberg W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RB Leipzig W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RB Leipzig W 2-1 Nürnberg W
Original prediction
RB Leipzig W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.3% | 42.4% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.8% | 24.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 22.9% | 32.8% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
RB Leipzig W
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
RB Leipzig W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00