RB Leipzig Wvs
Mainz 05 W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RB Leipzig W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RB Leipzig W 5-0 Mainz 05 W
Original prediction
RB Leipzig W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.4% | 55.0% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.3% | 22.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.53 | 16.2% | 22.4% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
RB Leipzig W
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
RB Leipzig W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60