RB Leipzig Wvs
Bayern Munich W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern Munich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RB Leipzig W 1-5 Bayern Munich W
Original prediction
Bayern Munich W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.54 | 7.2% | 19.3% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 7.36 | 12.3% | 19.0% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 1.12 | 80.5% | 61.7% | -18.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Bayern Munich W
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
Bayern Munich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60