RB Leipzigvs
PSV Eindhoven
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 10/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RB Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven
Original prediction
RB Leipzig
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 61.0% | 40.9% | -20.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 19.4% | 25.5% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 19.7% | 33.6% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
RB Leipzig
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
RB Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20