RB Leipzigvs
Manchester City
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 11/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Manchester City
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Manchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RB LeipzigWLLWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Manchester CityWLWWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RB LeipzigManchester City
58.3Attack93.3
50.0Defence56.7
54.2Form86.7
56.0Power80.3
1.48xG2.44