RB Leipzigvs
Eintracht Frankfurt
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RB Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt
Original prediction
RB Leipzig
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 60.3% | 54.2% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.76 | 19.9% | 21.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.78 | 19.8% | 24.3% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
RB Leipzig
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
RB Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00