GGOALVIO

Germany · Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

RB Leipzig are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Borussia Mönchengladbach are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Leipzig hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (66.0 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Bundesliga, while RB Leipzig holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Leipzig

Probability

78.2%

Model confidence

9.2%

RB Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB LeipzigLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Borussia MönchengladbachWWWWW

GF 21 · GA 3 · avg 4.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
75.5Attack54.9
61.8Defence34.3
63.7Form33.3
66.0Power42.3
3.47xG1.09
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