RB Leipzigvs
Borussia Mönchengladbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RB Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%), 4-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Original prediction
RB Leipzig
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 59.9% | 75.1% | 15.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 21.4% | 13.8% | -7.6 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 18.7% | 11.1% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–08%
- 3.4–18%
Predicted outcome
RB Leipzig
Probability
75.1%
Model confidence
75.1%
RB Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60