GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Youth League · 10/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Leipzig U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

RB Leipzig U19 1-6 PSV U19

Original prediction

RB Leipzig U19

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8548.7%38.6%-10.1 pts
Draw3.9722.8%25.9%3.2 pts
Away3.1628.5%35.4%6.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

RB Leipzig U19

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

RB Leipzig U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB Leipzig U19WWWDW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
PSV U19WDWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RB Leipzig U19PSV U19
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.59xG1.69
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