RB Leipzig U19vs
Nürnberg U19
COMPLETEDGermany · U19 Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RB Leipzig U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RB Leipzig U19 3-2 Nürnberg U19
Original prediction
RB Leipzig U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.6% | 54.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 19.7% | 20.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.6% | 25.2% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
RB Leipzig U19
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
RB Leipzig U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60