GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/28/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

RB Bragantino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tacuary are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

68.6%

Model confidence

68.6%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoWWDDL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TacuaryWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
RB BragantinoTacuary
48.1Attack47.6
77.8Defence0.0
51.9Form33.3
58.0Power29.3
2.13xG0.63
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