GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/25/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

RB Bragantino are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Luqueno are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

64.9%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo LuquenoLLWDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
RB BragantinoSportivo Luqueno
48.1Attack19.0
77.8Defence47.6
51.9Form19.0
58.0Power31.9
1.66xG0.41
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