CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL Sudamericana
Thursday, 30 July 202601:30Updated today
RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino

Home
D
vs
01:30
Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
56% confidence
RB Bragantino(56%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
RB Bragantino
56%
Draw
25%
Sporting Cristal
19%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
RB Bragantino
34
Sporting Cristal
34
Defence
RB Bragantino
66
Sporting Cristal
91
Momentum
RB Bragantino
33
Sporting Cristal
100
Danger (xG)
RB Bragantino
0.89
Sporting Cristal
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (RB Bragantino)
0.89
avg per match
xG for (Sporting Cristal)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (RB Bragantino)
1.56
avg per match
xG against (Sporting Cristal)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
DL
Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
WL

Probability breakdown

56% confidence
RB Bragantino56%
Draw25%
Sporting Cristal19%

RB Bragantino leads with 56% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

RB Bragantino head into this in CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture in mixed form (D), while Sporting Cristal arrive in mixed form (W). RB Bragantino have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Sporting Cristal over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — RB Bragantino (66/100) and Sporting Cristal (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

RB Bragantino have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Sporting Cristal have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

RB Bragantino have generated 0.89 xG per game recently while conceding 1.56 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Sporting Cristal have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between RB Bragantino and Sporting Cristal in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects RB Bragantino to win with 56% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: RB Bragantino 5585%, Draw 2525%, Sporting Cristal 1890%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino

D
@ Fluminense
18 Jul 2026
11
xG 0.9
L
@ Mirassol
14 May 2026
12
Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal

W
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
17 Jul 2026
10
xG 0.0
L
@ FC Cajamarca
15 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win RB Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal?

GoalVio's model predicts RB Bragantino to win with 56% confidence.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in RB Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in RB Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more