GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/1/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

RB Bragantino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while River Plate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and River Plate hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoLDWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
River PlateWLWWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RB BragantinoRiver Plate
48.1Attack50.0
77.8Defence83.3
51.9Form77.8
58.0Power72.4
0.94xG0.72
View match centre →