GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/18/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

RB Bragantino are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Oriente Petrolero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 16.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

76.4%

Model confidence

76.4%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoWWLLL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Oriente PetroleroLWLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoOriente Petrolero
48.1Attack14.3
77.8Defence4.8
51.9Form14.3
58.0Power16.6
2.21xG0.39
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