GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/3/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

RB Bragantino are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Estudiantes L.P. are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoLDWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Estudiantes L.P.WWWWD

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoEstudiantes L.P.
48.1Attack69.4
77.8Defence88.9
51.9Form72.2
58.0Power74.6
0.71xG1.05
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