RB Bragantinovs
Cruzeiro
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 10/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RB Bragantino 4-2 Cruzeiro
Original prediction
RB Bragantino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 44.9% | 39.3% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 26.2% | 27.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.9% | 33.2% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
RB Bragantino
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20