GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/25/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

RB Bragantino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Barcelona SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

58.4%

Model confidence

58.4%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoWDLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Barcelona SCDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoBarcelona SC
48.1Attack33.3
77.8Defence16.7
51.9Form50.0
58.0Power37.5
1.60xG0.58
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