GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/15/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

RB Bragantino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bahia are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.8 against 53.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoWLLLD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BahiaWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 2.33/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
RB BragantinoBahia
40.9Attack46.4
65.2Defence59.4
48.5Form49.3
52.8Power53.6
1.06xG0.89
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