GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/11/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

RB Bragantino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while America Mineiro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoWDWDL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
America MineiroLDLDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
RB BragantinoAmerica Mineiro
48.1Attack66.7
77.8Defence44.4
51.9Form41.7
58.0Power50.9
1.74xG0.94
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