GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 1 · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rayong FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rayong FC 1-1 Ratchaburi

Original prediction

Rayong FC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.3726.5%41.0%14.5 pts
Draw3.2927.1%27.0%-0.2 pts
Away1.9346.3%32.1%-14.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

14.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Rayong FC

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Rayong FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rayong FCWWDLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RatchaburiLWLWW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rayong FCRatchaburi
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
83.3Power53.0
1.68xG1.02
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