Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rayong FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayong FC 1-0 Prachuap
Original prediction
Rayong FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.4% | 40.8% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.4% | 26.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.2% | 33.1% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Rayong FC
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Rayong FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rayong FCDLWDL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PrachuapLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Rayong FCPrachuap
48.9Attack36.7
45.6Defence56.7
41.1Form37.8
46.6Power46.0
1.37xG1.09