Rayo Zulianovs
Portuguesa FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/13/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portuguesa FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Zuliano 1-1 Portuguesa FC
Original prediction
Portuguesa FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.0% | 21.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 24.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.5% | 53.9% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Portuguesa FC
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Portuguesa FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80