Rayo Zulianovs
Monagas SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/19/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas SC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Zuliano 1-1 Monagas SC
Original prediction
Monagas SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 29.2% | 36.0% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.3% | 25.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.5% | 38.9% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Monagas SC
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Monagas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60