GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/7/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo La Guaira · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Rayo Zuliano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportivo La Guaira are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo La Guaira hold a 31.0-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Deportivo La Guaira holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo La Guaira

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Deportivo La Guaira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rayo ZulianoLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo La GuairaWDDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rayo ZulianoDeportivo La Guaira
4.8Attack0.0
14.3Defence100.0
9.5Form33.3
14.3Power45.3
0.76xG1.62
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