GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/3/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Danubio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Rayo Zuliano are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Danubio are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Danubio hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Danubio holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Danubio

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Danubio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rayo ZulianoDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DanubioLLWWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Rayo ZulianoDanubio
4.8Attack28.6
14.3Defence66.7
9.5Form38.1
14.3Power46.6
0.65xG1.28
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