Rayo Zulianovs
Caracas FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Zuliano 1-2 Caracas FC
Original prediction
Caracas FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.63 | 16.2% | 28.4% | 12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.5% | 24.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.3% | 47.3% | -13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60