Rayo Zulianovs
Carabobo FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/3/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carabobo FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rayo Zuliano 0-1 Carabobo FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Zuliano 4-3 Carabobo FC
Original prediction
Carabobo FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 18:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.97 | 13.0% | 11.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.6% | 20.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.4% | 67.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Rayo Zuliano 0–1 Carabobo FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Carabobo FC
Probability
67.9%
Model confidence
67.9%
Carabobo FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40