GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Rayo Zuliano are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 53.6-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

81.8%

Model confidence

81.8%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rayo ZulianoLLDLD

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Atletico ParanaenseWLDWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rayo ZulianoAtletico Paranaense
4.8Attack72.2
14.3Defence66.7
9.5Form69.4
14.3Power67.9
0.56xG2.94
View match centre →