Rayo Vallecanovs
Alaves
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 8/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alaves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Alaves
Original prediction
Alaves
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Alaves
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Alaves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rayo VallecanoLLWLL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AlavesWDWWD
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rayo VallecanoAlaves
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power97.0
1.15xG1.60