Rayo Vallecano IIvs
Trival Valderas
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · 10/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trival Valderas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Vallecano II 1-0 Trival Valderas
Original prediction
Trival Valderas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 26.3% | 29.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 26.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.0% | 44.4% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Trival Valderas
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Trival Valderas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50