Rayo Vallecano IIvs
Galapagar
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rayo Vallecano II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Vallecano II 1-2 Galapagar
Original prediction
Rayo Vallecano II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.3% | 39.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 28.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.5% | 32.6% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Rayo Vallecano II
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Rayo Vallecano II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00