Rayo Majadahondavs
Teruel
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rayo Majadahonda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Majadahonda 2-0 Teruel
Original prediction
Rayo Majadahonda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.3% | 43.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.1% | 29.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.6% | 27.0% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Rayo Majadahonda
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Rayo Majadahonda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60