Rayo Majadahondavs
Sant Andreu
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rayo Majadahonda 0-0 Sant Andreu, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 Sant Andreu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.5% | 35.3% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.5% | 31.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.0% | 33.3% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Rayo Majadahonda 0–0 Sant Andreu
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rayo MajadahondaLLLLW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Sant AndreuDLDWD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rayo MajadahondaSant Andreu
19.0Attack42.9
66.7Defence57.1
19.0Form42.9
36.9Power49.8
0.82xG0.91