GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/2/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gimnastic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Rayo Majadahonda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnastic are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnastic hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while Gimnastic holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gimnastic

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Gimnastic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rayo MajadahondaDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
GimnasticWWWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Rayo MajadahondaGimnastic
25.4Attack35.1
54.4Defence78.9
26.3Form61.4
38.0Power60.5
0.37xG0.94
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