Rayo Majadahondavs
FC Cartagena
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rayo Majadahonda 0-0 FC Cartagena, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rayo Majadahonda 1-1 FC Cartagena
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 26.2% | 33.7% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.4% | 31.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.4% | 34.6% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.99 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Rayo Majadahonda 0–0 FC Cartagena
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rayo MajadahondaLLWDD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC CartagenaDWLWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Rayo MajadahondaFC Cartagena
50.0Attack32.5
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power51.9
0.91xG0.76