Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ravenna · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ravenna 0-0 Spezia, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ravenna 0-1 Spezia
Original prediction
Ravenna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.8% | 36.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 29.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.4% | 34.1% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
Ravenna 0–0 Spezia
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ravenna
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Ravenna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RavennaWLWWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SpeziaWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RavennaSpezia
59.3Attack63.0
81.5Defence85.2
74.1Form92.6
72.4Power82.4
0.96xG0.93