Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ravenna · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ravenna 2-1 Forli
Original prediction
Ravenna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.9% | 50.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.3% | 26.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 21.7% | 23.3% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Ravenna
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Ravenna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RavennaWDLWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ForliWDDDW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RavennaForli
75.0Attack33.3
91.7Defence66.7
83.3Form33.3
82.6Power45.3
1.89xG0.85