Raufossvs
Stromsgodset
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stromsgodset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (10%), 0-4 (9%), 1-5 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Raufoss 0-2 Stromsgodset
Original prediction
Stromsgodset
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.90 | 11.6% | 6.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.09 | 15.1% | 9.6% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 73.3% | 83.6% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–410%
- 2.0–49%
- 3.1–59%
Predicted outcome
Stromsgodset
Probability
83.6%
Model confidence
83.6%
Stromsgodset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20