1. Division
Raufoss
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Stabaek
AwayThe model projects 1.65 xG for Raufoss and 1.76 xG for Stabaek — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.11), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Raufoss's Attack Score (34) exceeds Stabaek's Defensive Stability (27), and Stabaek's attack (100) similarly tests Raufoss's defence (91). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.41 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Raufoss's Attack Score (34) vs Stabaek's Defensive Stability (27) and Stabaek's attack (100) vs Raufoss's defence (91) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesRaufossStabaekProbability breakdown
Stabaek leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Stabaek Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2
Raufoss host Stabaek in 1. Division. Raufoss have recorded LLWLWW in recent matches while Stabaek arrive with a run of DWLWWW.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Stabaek hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Stabaek.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Stabaek, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Raufoss score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠Raufoss are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.11 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
Head to head
Recent form
Raufoss
Stabaek
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Raufoss vs Stabaek?
GoalVio's model predicts Stabaek to win with 39% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Raufoss vs Stabaek?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Stabaek?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Raufoss vs Stabaek?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.