1. Division1. Division
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 12:36
Raufoss

Raufoss

Home
W
31
Full time
Sogndal

Sogndal

Away
L
NAMMO Stadion
GoalVio prediction
54% confidence
Sogndal(21%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Raufoss
Win probability
Raufoss
54%
Draw
24%
Sogndal
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Raufoss
34
Sogndal
34
Defence
Raufoss
91
Sogndal
0
Momentum
Raufoss
100
Sogndal
0
Danger (xG)
Raufoss
0.90
Sogndal
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Raufoss)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Sogndal)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Raufoss)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Sogndal)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RaufossRaufoss
WLWW
SogndalSogndal
LWLD

Probability breakdown

54% confidence
Raufoss54%
Draw24%
Sogndal21%

Raufoss leads with 54% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Raufoss head into this in 1. Division fixture at NAMMO Stadion in mixed form (W), while Sogndal arrive in mixed form (L). Raufoss have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Sogndal over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Raufoss's modest attack (34/100) faces a vulnerable Sogndal defence (0/100), while Sogndal's attack is up against a watertight Raufoss backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Raufoss's favour.

Raufoss have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Sogndal have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per away game.

Raufoss have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Sogndal to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Raufoss 5422%, Draw 2440%, Sogndal 2138%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Raufoss 1Draws 00 Sogndal
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
Raufoss
W31
Sogndal

Recent form

Raufoss

Raufoss

W
vs Strommen
3 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Sandnes ULF
27 Jun 2026
03
W
vs Sogndal
21 Jun 2026
31
W
@ Stabaek
16 May 2026
21
Sogndal

Sogndal

L
@ Kongsvinger
3 Jul 2026
15
W
vs Egersund
27 Jun 2026
42
L
@ Raufoss
21 Jun 2026
13
D
@ hodd
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Raufoss vs Sogndal?

GoalVio's model predicts Sogndal to win with 54% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Raufoss vs Sogndal?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Sogndal?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Raufoss vs Sogndal?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more