Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ranheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (7%), 1-3 (7%), 2-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Raufoss 1-3 Ranheim
Original prediction
Ranheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.98 | 23.1% | 19.8% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.5% | 18.0% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 55.3% | 62.2% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–47%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–47%
Predicted outcome
Ranheim
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Ranheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RaufossLLDLL
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
RanheimWDLWW
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RaufossRanheim
37.0Attack84.0
12.3Defence17.3
24.7Form43.2
27.5Power47.6
1.90xG4.21