Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raufoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Raufoss are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Moss are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Raufoss hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Raufoss holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Raufoss
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
8.3%
Raufoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40