Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Raufoss 1-2 Moss
Original prediction
Moss
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.71 | 24.8% | 28.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.6% | 22.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 51.6% | 49.2% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Moss
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Moss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RaufossLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MossLDWLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RaufossMoss
37.7Attack52.8
11.6Defence25.0
27.5Form34.7
28.4Power40.2
1.79xG2.58