Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raufoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Raufoss are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Elverum are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Raufoss hold a 53.6-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Raufoss holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Raufoss
Probability
83.3%
Model confidence
9.7%
Raufoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60