Ratchaburivs
Sukhothai FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ratchaburi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ratchaburi 6-0 Sukhothai FC
Original prediction
Ratchaburi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.0% | 48.8% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.7% | 25.9% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 6.31 | 14.2% | 25.3% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Ratchaburi
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Ratchaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20