Ratchaburivs
SHANGHAI SIPG
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ratchaburi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ratchaburi 4-6 SHANGHAI SIPG
Original prediction
Ratchaburi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.7% | 40.4% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.9% | 27.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 39.4% | 32.4% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Ratchaburi
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Ratchaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40