Ratchaburivs
Pattani
COMPLETEDThailand · FA Cup · 10/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ratchaburi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ratchaburi 4-2 Pattani
Original prediction
Ratchaburi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 17:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.4% | 47.1% | -21.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.5% | 24.5% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 7.46 | 12.1% | 28.4% | 16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Ratchaburi
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Ratchaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60