GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 1 · 8/19/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ratchaburi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ratchaburi are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nakhon Pathom are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ratchaburi hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Thai League 1, while Ratchaburi holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ratchaburi

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Ratchaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RatchaburiLL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Nakhon PathomDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
RatchaburiNakhon Pathom
43.3Attack41.1
61.1Defence41.1
43.3Form36.7
50.0Power42.1
1.68xG0.86
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