Ratchaburivs
Kashiwa Reysol
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/27/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ratchaburi 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol
Original prediction
Kashiwa Reysol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.02 | 13.2% | 27.3% | 14.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.24 | 17.7% | 23.5% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 69.1% | 49.2% | -20.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Kashiwa Reysol
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60