GGOALVIO

World · ASEAN Club Championship · 10/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ratchaburi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ratchaburi 1-1 Ho Chi Minh

Original prediction

Ratchaburi

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5657.7%43.8%-13.9 pts
Draw3.7823.8%26.4%2.6 pts
Away4.8618.5%29.8%11.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Ratchaburi

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Ratchaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RatchaburiDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ho Chi MinhLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RatchaburiHo Chi Minh
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.84xG1.56
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